On a more relaxed tone.....Our guest blogger Gabrielle Hegerl is willing to accept bets on the evolution of the global mean temperature in the next 7 years. Here are the terms of reference:
[Update: For Gabi Hegerl, to win or lose the bet is not a proof of or against anthropogenic global warming. ]
Definition 1: Event A
-one of the years Y=2010,2011,2012,2013,2014, 2015, 2016 or 2017 is reported to have the highest mean annual global temperature of the period between 1880 and year Y (in other words, the year Y is the warmest on record) in the data set HadCRUTv. or successor data set. Successor data set is the data set used by the Hadley Centre to compare hottest years to the media at that time.
Definition 2: accept the bet
Send a comment with nickname to this posting in Die Klimawiebel with the text: 'I accept the bet', and send an email to eduardo.zorita at gmx.de including the nickname and real name and real postal address
-if event A does NOT occur, Gabi Hegerl will send by mail, within year 2018, one nice bottle of wine (US definition = more expensive than $10 ) to each one of the first 10 readers of Die Klimazwiebel accepting this bet. Preference ranking is determined by the blog time-stamp on the comment.
- if event A occurs, each one of the readers of Die Klimazwiebel that accepted this bet will send by mail a bottle of nice wine (US definition = more expensive than $10 ) to Gabi Hegerl, not later than one year after event A was declared to have happened.
All conflicts will be irrevocably resolved, after hearing the parties, by eduardo. All breaches to the terms of this bet will be published in Die Klimazwiebel, including real names.